Friday, October 26, 2007

SSRIs, Anxiety, Kids, Suicide, and Credible Evidence

I wrote a while ago about Christopher Lane's assertions that social anxiety was overdiagnosed and overtreated, particularly among children. Many people disagreed with Lane. One person who disagreed was Dr. Ronald Pies, a psychiatrist at SUNY Upstate Medical Center, who wrote in the New York Times that
... there is no credible evidence to support Mr. Lane’s implication that S.S.R.I. antidepressants are linked with increased risk of suicide in children prescribed these medications for social anxiety. The Food and Drug Administration’s initial concerns stemmed from studies in children with major depression, not anxiety disorders, and the latest evidence has not supported a strong link between S.S.R.I.’s and risk of suicide.
I re-read the latest summary of evidence regarding SSRIs and suicide in kids. Mind you, the article that I referenced (Bridge et al., 2007 in JAMA) came to decidedly pro-SSRI conclusions -- I didn't get my evidence dropped to me from a black helicopter. Based on trials submitted to the FDA, as reported by Bride and colleagues, there were data that pertained directly toward Dr. Pies' assertion. Here are the data regarding SSRI's and suicide in children and adolescents with anxiety disorders.

Note: AD represents Antidepressant; PL represents Placebo
Condition
Suicidal Ideation




Suicide Attempt/Preparatory Action
OCD
AD: 3 of 362
PL: 1 of 339




AD: 1 of 362
PL: 0 of 339
Non-OCD Anxiety Disorder
AD: 5 of 573
PL: 0 of 582




AD: 1 of 573
PL: 0 of 582
Total for Anxiety Disorders
AD: 8 of 935
PL: 1 of 921




AD: 2 of 935
PL: o of 921

Compare the odds of having suicidal ideation on drug to the odds of having suicidal ideation on placebo. Kind of a large difference, eh? I realize that the odds of developing suicidal ideation are still small, even on medication, but they are substantially higher than a child taking placebo.

While one could point out correctly that the difference is not "statistically significant," I think one would be foolish to fall back on that argument. We have seen in adults and children that SSRIs are related to more suicide attempts and that this finding is pretty consistent across trials, at least among children and young adults. When events occur rarely, then we need exceedingly large samples in order to be quite certain that the event (such as suicidal ideation in SSRI trials for anxiety in kids) is not an anomaly. But when kids are being treated for disorders that are very rarely associated with suicidality, yet the children show a much higher rate of suicidal ideation on a drug compared to a placebo, does it not make sense to warn patients about such potential hazards? One could run to the less SSRI's cause more suicide argument, but that hasn't really held up so well scientifically.

In my eyes, the above data represent "credible evidence" that SSRIs can indeed lead to an increase in suicidal thoughts among kids with anxiety disorders. Either Dr. Pies was unfamiliar with the above evidence or he believes it is not credible.

No actual suicides were recorded during the trials. Of course, if someone got worse during the study, then quit the study and killed himself/herself, then who knows if such data were included. Perhaps such events occurred -- I don't know. And there was much more supervision of these kids in a clinical trial then you'd see in real life, which could have kept some people from suicide. Further, let's suppose that the drug causes a child with social anxiety to become suicidal. He does not make an attempt on his own life, but he is suicidal for a month. Doesn't prior suicidal thinking predict later suicidal thinking and later attempt of suicide? So even if the child makes no immediate attempt on his life, couldn't he be at higher risk down the line? Maybe I'm losing my marbles, but I think it's a reasonable question.

Related posts on SSRI's and suicide:

3 comments:

Herb said...

Hi doc,

“…does it not make sense to warn patients about such potential hazards?” --- CL PSYCH

From my personal experiences through some 4 decades I’m very much in agreement with you but I would go much further. I would warn patients, parents, supports persons of the potential hazards of all psychotropic medications and that upon taking any medication or making any changes in treatment regimen careful monitoring of the patient for a reasonable time is paramount.

This same warning should also apply to some non-medication therapies.

Warmly,
Herb
VNSdepression.com

Anonymous said...

well, if it is not statistically significant that means that the difference could be due to chance alone, not the actual effect of the active medicine. That is certainly helpful in the risk/ benefit analysis. Social anxiety if significant should certainly be treated in children first with a round of psychotherapy, however if unavailable or treatment resistant, SSRI could be an option.

CL Psych said...

Anon,

Even if a difference is statistically significant, it does not mean that the difference is not due to chance; it means there is a very low probability that the difference is due to chance. In the case of this post, the difference is close to statistical significance, but not quite there. All I'm asking for is some warnings and close patient monitoring -- is that too much to ask?